Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.000174 0.000188 0.000203 0.000220 0.000239 0.000260 0.000284
2024-10-06 0.000153 0.000173 0.000196 0.000224 0.000257 0.000296 0.000345
2024-10-13 0.000141 0.000165 0.000192 0.000228 0.000272 0.000326 0.000399
2024-10-20 0.000129 0.000154 0.000185 0.000225 0.000277 0.000344 0.000438
2024-10-27 0.000124 0.000151 0.000185 0.000230 0.000292 0.000375 0.000498
2024-11-03 0.000114 0.000141 0.000176 0.000224 0.000291 0.000384 0.000527
2024-11-10 0.000107 0.000135 0.000170 0.000221 0.000294 0.000397 0.000561
2024-11-17 0.000101 0.000128 0.000164 0.000217 0.000294 0.000406 0.000592
2024-11-24 0.000097 0.000124 0.000162 0.000217 0.000300 0.000424 0.000639
2024-12-01 0.000093 0.000121 0.000159 0.000216 0.000304 0.000441 0.000684
2024-12-08 0.000090 0.000118 0.000158 0.000218 0.000314 0.000465 0.000745
2024-12-15 0.000086 0.000114 0.000154 0.000215 0.000314 0.000475 0.000782
2024-12-22 0.000082 0.000111 0.000151 0.000214 0.000319 0.000493 0.000838
2024-12-29 0.000080 0.000109 0.000150 0.000217 0.000329 0.000523 0.000922
2025-01-05 0.000078 0.000108 0.000150 0.000221 0.000342 0.000559 0.001023
2025-01-12 0.000075 0.000104 0.000147 0.000218 0.000343 0.000572 0.001080
2025-01-19 0.000074 0.000103 0.000148 0.000224 0.000359 0.000616 0.001213
2025-01-26 0.000070 0.000099 0.000143 0.000218 0.000354 0.000618 0.001248
2025-02-02 0.000068 0.000096 0.000139 0.000215 0.000354 0.000629 0.001308
2025-02-09 0.000065 0.000093 0.000135 0.000211 0.000352 0.000635 0.001357
2025-02-16 0.000063 0.000091 0.000134 0.000211 0.000357 0.000659 0.001456
2025-02-23 0.000061 0.000089 0.000132 0.000210 0.000361 0.000680 0.001552
2025-03-02 0.000060 0.000088 0.000132 0.000212 0.000371 0.000715 0.001697